"The European Council today agrees on further restrictive measures that will impose massive and severe consequences on Russia for its action," said a statement by the 27 national EU leaders meeting in Brussels. The United Kingdoms defence ministry said heavy combat continued in the ruined city of Bakhmut, where battles have been going on for months. Signs at the top are no better. The Democratic Majority Whip Dick Durbin said Thursday that there have been no discussions of bringing the Senate back from their scheduled recess if Russia invades Ukraine. Russian troops seized the Chernobyl former nuclear power plant north of Kyiv as they advanced along the shortest route to Kyiv from Belarus to the north. Ultimately, any Ukrainian decision to invade Russian territory must contemplate one factor above all: how this will play in Western capitals. Haaretz.com, the online English edition of Haaretz Newspaper in Israel, gives you breaking news, analyses and opinions about Israel, the Middle East and the Jewish World. "The risk of renewed or expanded Russian invasion Ukraine of course already faces an ongoing Russian invasion of Crimea and proxy occupation of parts of Donetsk and Luhansk has never fully receded these past eight years and is unlikely to after these talks as maintaining the ability to restrict Ukraine's potential success is still seen as key to the long-term self-preservation of the Kremlin," he said. The Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline to Germany will be frozen indefinitely. If Russia does invade Ukraine, there will be "massive consequences," he added. Evening roundup with our editors favorite stories of the day. In its decision-making process on whether to intervene militarily in the former Soviet sphere, Russias calculus uses a strategic framework that rests primarily on five variables: 1) a trigger; 2) local support; 3) anticipated military reaction; 4) technical feasibility; and 5) relatively low anticipated political and economic costs, especially when it comes to nonmilitary responses to invasion such as sanctions or diplomatic restrictions. All Rights Reserved. "I will not pretend this will be painless," Biden said last week. If all these factors are present, there is a much higher likelihood for a Russian military intervention. Russian tanks take part in training drills in southern Russia this week as Russia rejects Western complaints about its troop buildup near Ukraine. In the years since, NATO has expanded several times, including adding three former Soviet republics. The latest news, analysis, and data from the country each week. Konashenkov said that the Russian troops move allowed to resume water supply to Crimea. Chinas support for Putin may deepen east-west tensions. "They still have military agreements, treaties, economic treaties, business treaties or relationships, even though there's no NATO treaty in place between Ukraine and NATO and the U.S.". The move was not part of Washington's response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, but part of a dispute over the two countries' diplomatic presence in their respective capitals, the official said. Blinken wouldn't say how likely he thought an invasion would be but did say that Putin is skilled at keeping options open and is likely weighing his odds on what may work and what won't. The military said on its Facebook page it had recorded 96 incidents of shelling by separatists over the past 24 hours compared with 84 a day earlier. Ukraine Asked if the Kremlin's website had been hit by a DDoS attack, Kremlin spokesperson told Interfax news agency that he thought the platform was working normally. Ukraine is being hit with a second wave of missile attacks, an adviser to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said. And Putin has now chosen a violent solution to his "Ukraine problem." When asked what scenario could prompt him to send troops to aid Americans in Ukraine, Biden said, "There's not. He had visited him in the Kremlin at the beginning of the month. Ukraine Ukraines armed forces will not be easily vanquished. Alexey Nikolsky/Sputnik via AFP via Getty Images, President Joe Biden addressed the American public, Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg are seen during NATO-Russia Council at the Alliance's headquarters in Brussels, Belgium January 12, 2022. At the same time, Zelenskyy signed a general recruitment order in the country. As war gets closer in Ukraine, signs of progress are being reported from Vienna, where Iran and world powers are discussing a new nuclear agreement. It is a way for the U.S. to increase its military size and strength by recruiting eligible males in the desired age range of 18 to 26, Matthew Berman, a Whitmer High School history teacher said. There is a cottage industry of people looking for signs that the Russian army is going to spring across its borders and attack Ukraine evidence that the ground under foot is less muddy, groups of medics armed with blood supplies making their way to field hospitals on the border and the traipsing of Russian boats through the Black Sea. Russia has amassed some 120,000 troops on the border, and fighting along the line of contact between Moscow-backed separatists and Ukraines security forces has intensified in recent days. A Russian AN-26 military transport aircraft crashed in Russia's southern Voronezh region on Thursday, killing its crew on board, Interfax news agency quoted Russian military officials as saying. Representatives of the 30 NATO states are due to hold crisis talks in Brussels on Thursday morning starting at 8:30 am (0730 GMT), a British representative announced. The expansion of NATO to the former Soviet bloc thus violates a key imperative for Russia, which leaves Moscow feeling fundamentally insecure both from neighboring countries that join the bloc and the external powersprimarily the United Statesthat support them. Russias Real Men Recruitment Drive Likely to Fall Short, UK Says (9 a.m.) A new drive by Russia for recruits now appearing on social media sites, on billboards Despite all the hard words from Moscow, Russias record shows that an invasion is unlikely. Russia's dealings or, more accurately, its clashes with the West have focused on one country that has been a particular flashpoint for confrontations in recent years: Ukraine. This dialogue may also become mixed up in the bigger debate around European values. For example, Russia did not invade Estonia in 2007 following the Bronze Soldier incident, though it had the perceived justification in terms of protecting ethnic Russians. Meanwhile, Biden hosted Germany's new chancellor, Olaf Scholz, at the White House. Why Russia Probably Won't Attack Ukraine - Foreign Policy Russia-backed separatists near Luganske village, in Donetsk region on January 11, 2022. White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki said during a press briefing that Biden is always ready for diplomacy, however now, when Russia appears to be continuing preparations for an assault on Ukraine conflict, is not the right time. Firstly, what specific goal Russia would have in invading Ukraine now? "Putin says Russia is carrying out "a special military operation" to stop the Ukrainian government from committing genocide against its own people - an accusation the West calls baseless. I agree to abide by FPs comment guidelines. The United States has accused Putin of massing more than 150,000 troops near Ukraine's borders in preparation for what it fears could be a full-scale invasion. Technically, all American men between the ages of 18 and 25 are required to register for the draft but nobody has actually been drafted since 1973. Other attendees included NATO's secretary general and the presidents of the European Commission and European Council. Georgia was not yet a NATO member state, and Moscow calculated that the Wests response would be relatively limited and the costs were thus manageable. U.S. says 'distinct possibility' that Russia could invade Ukraine Join FPs Ravi Agrawal in conversation with Wang for a discussion about Chinas technological rise and whether U.S. actions can really stop it. Russias envoy to the United Nations in Geneva said no real progress had been achieved in resolving issues raised by Moscow over theBlack Sea grain deal, which is set to expire next month. o get tough on Beijing. A series of explosions were heard in Kyiv earlier which Herashchenko said were the sounds of air defenses firing at the aircraft. On both sides of the aisle, there is agreement that its past time tShow moreo get tough on Beijing. Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on Thursday and Kyiv has reported dozens of casualties and hundreds of wounded. Putins message to his armed forces that Ukraine is run by neo-Nazis isnt just a ridiculous assertion especially since Ukraines democratically elected president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, is himself Jewish. That high level of U.S. involvement is necessary, he said, because "this is about more than just Russia and Ukraine. Russian troops from the direction of Belarus entered an area near the former nuclear power plant earlier Thursday, an adviser to Ukraine's interior minister said, as fighting continued across the country. Is a new deal actually within reach, and will it be a weaker, more dangerous agreement as Israeli officials have been warning? Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. This morning, as soon as we heard the explosions around 4 A.M., I sent a message to everybody to stay at home and I went to the synagogue to meet with the security services and [Rabbi Shlomo Baksht] and we worked on plans. That has not stopped others from going to Kyiv said 44 people were repatriated from Russian custody, two of them civilians, while Moscow said 40 had returned. Kids at Whitmer were learning about the Russian invasion at school Thursday, but many of them dont necessarily realize what it means. While Russia was too weak to stop NATO expansion into Central Europe and the Baltic states in the 1990s and early 2000s, Moscow was willing to go to war in Georgia in 2008 and subsequently in Ukraine in 2014 to stop this from happening.
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